Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.099034 0.107055 0.115598 0.125404 0.136387 0.148349 0.162422
2024-10-27 0.084490 0.095288 0.107487 0.122402 0.140305 0.161301 0.188092
2024-11-03 0.079292 0.092331 0.107742 0.127550 0.152703 0.184103 0.227129
2024-11-10 0.076177 0.091054 0.109307 0.133779 0.166422 0.209518 0.272625
2024-11-17 0.071363 0.087010 0.106764 0.134139 0.172115 0.224608 0.305913
2024-11-24 0.066468 0.082341 0.102849 0.132051 0.173912 0.234088 0.331997
2024-12-01 0.062042 0.077894 0.098780 0.129220 0.174123 0.240955 0.354673
2024-12-08 0.057763 0.073325 0.094164 0.125131 0.171932 0.243706 0.370738
2024-12-15 0.055110 0.070772 0.092106 0.124476 0.174695 0.254284 0.401507
2024-12-22 0.052353 0.067896 0.089378 0.122560 0.175227 0.261159 0.426586
2024-12-29 0.050768 0.066554 0.088728 0.123668 0.180572 0.276565 0.470199
2025-01-05 0.048201 0.063671 0.085651 0.120784 0.179075 0.279838 0.490324
2025-01-12 0.045418 0.060477 0.082130 0.117267 0.176740 0.282303 0.511496
2025-01-19 0.042940 0.057627 0.078999 0.114206 0.174999 0.285855 0.536372
2025-01-26 0.042585 0.057876 0.080553 0.118836 0.187157 0.317499 0.633097
2025-02-02 0.042466 0.058453 0.082627 0.124479 0.201789 0.356594 0.761265
2025-02-09 0.041168 0.057156 0.081652 0.124803 0.206455 0.375675 0.843658
2025-02-16 0.039502 0.055205 0.079513 0.122911 0.206595 0.384849 0.901026
2025-02-23 0.037818 0.053152 0.077096 0.120344 0.205125 0.390141 0.948612
2025-03-02 0.036020 0.050845 0.074153 0.116633 0.200986 0.388623 0.974244
2025-03-09 0.034940 0.049633 0.072959 0.116038 0.203214 0.402728 1.057831
2025-03-16 0.033712 0.048135 0.071214 0.114297 0.202852 0.410390 1.122006
2025-03-23 0.033058 0.047531 0.070945 0.115304 0.208482 0.434285 1.258614